Winning The Ground War

Today's New York Times reports that there has been a big increase in new voters in swing states. The Democrats are leading the race to register new voters, registering 250% more than they did in 2000 (compared with the Republicans 25%) in Ohio (and lead in new registrations in Florida). Despite the much vaunted Republicans' much vaunted Get Out The Vote (GOTV) program, which was the subject of a front page story for the NY Times Magazine a few months ago, it seems that the Democrats' turnout operations are outdoing them. If the polls are at all close by election day, it is pretty likely then that Kerry will win thanks to usually below the radar factors (which do not appear in opinion polling) like this.