Dean Appears to Be In Trouble

A recent poll has Dean getting creamed in New Hampshire by Kerry. According to the University of New Hampshire poll, the Senator from Massachuesetes is leading Dean by 18% and Clark and Edwards may be closing in on the Governor. The American Research Group Poll already is predicting that Dean might come in third place in Vermont behind Kerry and Clark Dean's also falling behind in fundraising, with both Edwards and Kerry outdoing him in internet fundraising (on a side note, Joe Lieberman is $14,000 short of his $100,000 goal).

Are we going to see the end of Dean? Maybe. Though that might not necessairly be good for Kerry. As the New Republic blog warns, Dean might exact an awful revenge on Kerry by spending his war chest on bitter anti-Kerry ad, ruining both their chances. Perhaps the long predicted/hoped for Kerry-Dean murder-suicide and Edwards asendacny might take place after all.

Then again, these sorts of theories are made to be disproved. Johnthan's Chait's comparison of those that try to predict the course of a campaign are like the character Vizzini from the Prince's Bride, who attempts to use an elaborate chain of logic determine whether or not the glass he is has been offered by the Man in Black contains poison and ends of being poisoned because of factors he failed to even consider.